I’ve been thinking about having a really exciting competition, here on HubbleBubble, to predict the date that I’d (eventually) be admitted to hospital 🧐
There’d be a totally thrilling £5 prize for the reader who guesses the nearest date 😊
But then I remembered that some years ago, when I was a fully-functional* human being, I used to design risk simulation software, for for quite-big-international-scary-companies .
* some would disagree
And so, whilst having a fairly idle day today, I decided to build a mental (as in my head) hospital admission delay simulation model 🤓
And, excitingly, here it is!!! …
![](https://i0.wp.com/hubblebubble.blog/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/KCH-SIMULATION.jpg?w=750&ssl=1)
Here’s the Hospital admission information form:
![](https://i0.wp.com/hubblebubble.blog/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Admission-Form.jpg?resize=537%2C469&ssl=1)
SO! It follows from this form, and the simulation data, as I’m sure you can see, that my expected admission date is:
14th November !
and …
It could be as late as:
28th November !!
Wow! This is so boffin-eeee!